PDF Download , by Graham Allison Robert D. Blackwill

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, by Graham Allison Robert D. Blackwill

PDF Download , by Graham Allison Robert D. Blackwill

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Product details

File Size: 540 KB

Print Length: 221 pages

Publisher: The MIT Press (February 1, 2013)

Publication Date: February 1, 2013

Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC

Language: English

ASIN: B00BFDLH3K

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I'm always in the market for more LKY. The problem with this book is simple: it is written like an interview where the late Minister Mentor answers topics of interest to policy types. The actual fact of the matter is, these are a bunch of out of context quotes taken from the public record and other books, stitched together out of order by the listed "editors" and presented to the reader as something it isn't.Many of the quotes don't make sense as they are stitched together, as they were taken from things LKY said in different decades (a quick skim turns up 45 year gaps between sentences) in vastly different context. LKY seems to contradict himself at times ... because he says one thing in the 1960s, and another thing in 2011. This is, to put it mildly, preposterous. While it is genuine LKY for a sentence or two, you could pretty much make the man say anything you want with this type of editorial control. Sure, there are footnotes showing where the original statement was made, but most people won't notice them. The quotes on Iran seem particularly out of context. That issue was one which didn't come up often with LKY.I'm not asserting malevolence in the editorial decisions, though it wouldn't surprise me

Lee Kuan Yew (1923-2015) was a remarkable and brilliant man. Lee was prime minister of Singapore from 1959 to 1990. He lived through both the Japanese occupation in the 1940s and British colonial rule. He transformed Singapore from a third world city-state into a major world city. Today, its six million citizens have incomes higher than those of Americans and Lee's son is the current prime minister.In 2013, Harvard professors Graham Allison and Robert Blackwill assembled a compilation of Lee's statements on China, the United States, U.S.-China relations, India, Islam, and globalization. This short book is the result. The book provides a fascinating insight into how the world works and the calculations made by small countries like Singapore. Leaders like Lee must work out which way the wind is blowing and adjust accordingly. Lee communicates in a clear and logical manner. His observations are honest and sometimes controversial. Lee was ethnically Chinese, like most Singaporeans, and the authors believe he had a good understanding of China. Lee was careful to mix his criticism of the U.S. and China with flattery.Lee sees the 21st century as a “contest for supremacy in the Pacific” between the U.S. and China. He is complimentary about Deng Xiaoping and Xi Jinping and appears to have met them many times. He claims that "it is China's intention to become the greatest power in the world—and to be accepted as China, not as an honorary member of the West." He believed that China was not interested in a war with the U.S. or India in the short term. It wants to continue to grow and needs access to American technology, universities, and markets. A war now would interrupt that progress. China was biding its time: “I believe the Chinese leadership has learned that if you compete with America in armaments, you will lose. You will bankrupt yourself. So, keep your head down, and smile for 40 or 50 years."Lee was not sure that an industrialized and strong China will be as benign to Southeast Asia as the U.S. has been since 1945. China has always wanted foreigners to show respect and obey its instructions. The politics of the region may have changed since Xi became president in 2013. China has been building islands in the South China Sea and recently there have been problems on the border with India. China has started to become pushy and aggressive. However, North Korea has been a client state of China, and if Lee was correct, Xi should be pulling Kim's strings. It seems that Kim has largely ignored China and has declined to meet Xi or visit Beijing. He has also purged powerful figures in his regime who were close to China. As a result, Beijing’s channels to Kim have been reduced. The authors present a rational picture of the future, with an omnipotent China, but that may not be accurate. The future could be more chaotic.Lee believes that third world countries need strong, wise leaders. He is skeptical about the benefits of democracy for developing nations, Lee argues that it is more important to have a meritocratic society, like Singapore. Lee challenges the prevailing view that Western-style democracy is inevitable. He believes that China is not going to become a liberal democracy: "If it did, it would collapse.” His view is that America’s success had nothing to do with its system of government, it had more to do with good fortune. That seems a bit harsh. He believes that most colonies failed post-independence because their leaders were incompetent or corrupt. He argues that most people just want a higher standard of living, and law and order. Lee was accused of authoritarianism while running Singapore.Lee is critical of the American political system, he does not believe it produces good leaders or people who challenge the electorate. He doubts that presidential contests “in packaging and advertising” can produce leaders in the mold of “a Churchill, a Roosevelt, or a de Gaulle.” Lee was a fan of Nixon, whom he viewed as a "pragmatic strategist." Nixon, he believes would have built an effective coalition to counter China. He thought Jimmy Carter was the worst president he had come across. He also questioned the competence of George W. Bush’s advisers. Unlike the neocons, he did not view democracy as a panacea. Lee believed the U.S. had been far too focused on the Middle East and it had taken its eye off the ball in Asia.Not that long-ago Lee said that “America will remain the sole superpower” for at least two to three more decades. He believed that the U.S. was going through a bumpy patch with the financial crises and high debt levels. He argued that America will not be reduced to second-rate status. Historically, the U.S. has demonstrated a great capacity for renewal and revival. He believed that Americans will return to the path that made it great. However, in a 2011 interview, he began to question the commitment of the U.S. to South East Asia and was worried what that might lead to. The stability and prosperity of the region have depended on U.S. protection since 1945. Without the U.S., China will become the regional hegemon.Lee has said that “multiculturalism will destroy America.” The key question is: “do you make the Hispanics Anglo-Saxons in culture or do they make you more Latin American in culture?” The population of Singapore is 74% Chinese, but Lee made English the main language. He was very keen on integrating its various ethnicities and creating a shared culture.Lee has doubts about India's progress. About 9% of Singapore’s population is Indian. He believes India is too big to ignore, but its GDP will never get above 60-70% of China’s. He claims “India is not a real country. Instead, it is 32 separate nations that happen to be arrayed along the British rail line." He argues that India, has "wasted decades in state planning and controls that have bogged it down in bureaucracy and corruption." He tried to convince India to move away from its infatuation with Soviet-style planning and open-up the country to foreign companies and market competition. He got nowhere with Prime Minister Indira Gandhi when he pointed out what was wrong with India. Lee believes, the: "caste system has been the enemy of meritocracy." He argues that the country produces lots of very talented people, who do well wherever they go, but they tend to do better outside India.He views Islam as a problem, because, unlike members of other religions, Muslims don’t integrate well. About 14% of the population of Singapore is Muslim. He believes that America’s failure to win its wars in Afghanistan and Iraq has encouraged the Islamists and damaged its global credibility. He also believes that Saudi Arabia’s role in financing the export of its extreme version of Islam has exacerbated the problems. He is worried that if Iran builds a nuclear weapon, the Saudis will buy one from Pakistan, and a bomb will go off in the Middle East.Living through the brutal Japanese occupation of Singapore gave him a Hobbesian worldview: "human beings … are inherently vicious and have to be restrained from their viciousness." Singapore has a low tolerance of crime, and for a while had the highest rate of executions per capita in the world. Lee is a fascinating man and having finished the book I felt depressed. The authors believe that Lee saw the U.S. and China peacefully co-existing for the next 50 years, but that is starting to seem unlikely. The West may still be ahead economically and militarily, but it may not be calling the shots for very much longer. The West has dominated the world for the last 500 years but Lee predicts that eventually, Asia will take over.

The relationship between the United States and China will be one of the most important factors shaping the globe over the next 100 years. For the curious reader, the most useful perspective on that relationship may come not from within either country, but from the viewpoint of a highly interested third party. "Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master's Insights on China, the United States, and the World" offers just such a perspective, from the collected comments of the man known as the "founding father of Singapore".Lee's perspective is balanced between his own formative experience of Chinese culture and his open admiration for many of the best qualities of American civilization. He argues for sustained, patient American engagement in the Pacific -- as well as for a dose of deference to China's self-determination, even if that means it never becomes a true liberal democracy. Lee's own use of power marshalled substantial force of will to turn a tiny city-state into a global commercial center in a single generation -- but not without his own violations of human rights.Lee's tolerance for less-than-perfect liberalism and his prescience for seeing the big geopolitical future are well-summed-up in this quotation from the book: "So long as you run this one-person, one-vote, the easiest of appeals that can be made to the ground are the simple, emotional ones, not economic development and progress and all these other things they do not understand, but simple things: Pride in race, in language, in religion, in culture."The rise of isolationist, nationalist politicians in Western countries in the mid-2010s seems to affirm what Lee saw coming. It is well worth heeding what he saw for China and America together in the years ahead.

Fascinating collection of interviews that provide a roadmap for successful governance. Singapore's founder is rightly credited with taking a poor country with no resources into the world's most prosperous and well educated nation in less than 30 years. Singapore is the singular economic miracle of the 20th Century - #1 in per capita GNP, #1 in education.This quick read is rich with insight in areas of world opportunity and conflict, including radical Islamism.It should be required reading for all the American Presidential contenders and pretenders. In the forward, Kissinger claims that he learned more from Yew than from another other world leader.I picked up the book because friends from Singapore wept for days when Yew passed. I had to know more about this great man.

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